Sources & method

The authors selected and adapted twelve issues; no institution endorses this questionnaire. Older analyses explain the background, not the current status of negotiations. Reported proposals, official commitments, and hypothetical bargains are distinct.

Two complementary ways to read results

Direct comparisons show each answer category, including unsure and skipped, as a share of all submissions in the selected cohort. The scatter plot is an editorial summary of selected answers, not a validated measure of ideology, morality, or national allegiance. Cohorts with fewer than five responses are withheld. Birthplace and current residence do not establish ethnicity or nationality.

How the scatter plot is calculated

Support = +1, conditional support = +0.5, oppose = −1. Unsure and skip are excluded from both numerator and denominator. For each axis: score = 100 × sum(weight × answer value) / sum(abs(weight) for substantively answered questions), rounded to an integer. Coverage is the answered absolute weight divided by the total absolute weight. At least 50% coverage on each axis is required to plot a response. Unweighted questions still appear in direct comparisons.

What the axes mean

X: negative values indicate more willingness to accommodate territorial concessions; positive values indicate more opposition. Y: negative values indicate more support for ceasefire-first sequencing and security-alignment compromise; positive values indicate more emphasis on military guarantees and enforcement. The axes simplify views; neither end is inherently better. The fixed weights below are editorial choices, not polling findings.

Profile rules

Rules apply in this order: insufficient coverage → Insufficient answers; X ≤ −45 → Territorial Compromise; X ≥ 45 plus support or conditional support for reconstruction contributions and accountability → Restoration and Accountability; Y ≥ 35 → Security-First Negotiator; Y ≤ −25 plus support or conditional support for a ceasefire before final agreement → Ceasefire-First Negotiator; otherwise → Mixed Negotiating Position.

Limits and legacy responses

Participation is voluntary. Internet access, language, referrals, and repeat participation can affect results. Rate limits discourage abuse but do not prove unique people. Overlapping positions are grouped into circles showing the number of submissions. Legacy v2 answers and author positions are retained separately and are never reinterpreted as answers to v3. The 20-year-or-longer NATO deferral is an editorial scenario, not an agreed treaty term.

External polling

KIIS’s October 8–16, 2026 survey found 61% rejecting transfer of the remaining Ukrainian-held Donbas in exchange for guarantees, 35% willing to accept, and 4% undecided. It sampled adults in government-controlled Ukraine, excluding occupied territories and people who left abroad after February 2022. Its wording and population differ from this website. Those figures are an external benchmark, never added to the site’s participant counts.

Editorial weights

QuestionXY
1. Should a settlement require prisoner exchanges, the release of detained civilians, and the return of Ukrainian children transferred to Russia or Russian-controlled territory?00
2. Would you support a monitored agreement protecting nuclear facilities and essential civilian infrastructure from attack?00
3. Should Ukraine and Russia enter an internationally monitored ceasefire before reaching a final agreement on territory and other political disputes?0-3
4. Should Ukraine’s security guarantees include a commitment by participating countries to intervene militarily if Russia launches another armed attack?04
5. Should a settlement require Russia to contribute to Ukraine’s reconstruction through negotiated payments or legally authorized use of frozen Russian state assets?00
6. Should sanctions relief for Russia proceed in stages after independently verified compliance, with sanctions reimposed for serious violations?02
7. Should investigations and prosecutions for alleged war crimes continue after a peace agreement rather than be replaced by a blanket amnesty?00
8. Would you support Ukraine deferring NATO membership for a fixed period of at least 20 years in exchange for binding alternative security guarantees?0-2
9. Would you support a ceasefire along a verified line of control without legally recognizing Russia’s annexation of occupied Ukrainian territory?-2-2
10. Should a peace settlement require Ukraine to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over occupied Ukrainian territory?-40
11. Would you support Ukraine withdrawing from the parts of Donbas it still controls, including Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, and transferring control to Russia in exchange for binding US–European security guarantees?-40
12. Would you support an internationally monitored demilitarized zone, with agreed withdrawals by both armies and no automatic change in legal sovereignty?01

Sources